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Red99
147736.4
1652.9
427635.1
Blue100
503921.8
527424.3
11864.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271145010015020025099100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#42
52.91.8
53.451.6
Auto12.0
Teleop27.8
End13.1
blue by 11.2
118
#11
64.10.9
65.164.2
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
1477
#48
36.41.8
34.432.6
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
red by 12.1
5274
#50
24.31.2
22.721.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
4276
#52
35.11.8
33.631.8
Auto11.0
Teleop17.8
End6.2
red by 13.3
5039
#24
21.80.9
25.224.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
45%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed