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Red97
512440.5
22933.2
393741.3
Blue145
456136.9
208133.5
362055.4
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131375010015020097145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#34
41.31.1
46.445.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
blue by 14.2
55.40.7
56.857.4
Auto14.5
Teleop35.2
End5.8
Second
5124
#30
40.51.1
39.538.3
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End5.7
red by 3.7
4561
#23
36.90.7
36.437.1
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End4.4
Third
229
#13
33.21.1
27.826.6
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6
blue by 0.4
2081
#53
33.50.7
36.937.5
Auto11.0
Teleop14.4
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed28%Capture oddsEarned