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Red111
70843.6
588525.1
347651.1
Blue115
455024.8
124163.7
171033.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711790100110120130140111115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#32
51.10.5
49.749.2
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4
blue by 12.6
63.70.1
61.661.6
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
Second
708
#19
43.60.5
37.837.3
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
red by 10.2
1710
#20
33.40.1
30.430.5
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
5885
#69
25.10.6
26.225.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End5.2
red by 0.3
4550
#45
24.80.1
21.721.8
Auto11.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
65%Capture oddsMissed41%Capture oddsMissed