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Qual 232016 Newton Division
Red129
151959.1
583216.5
239342.5
Blue92
141839.6
585130.6
550544.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131245010015020012992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#3
59.11.2
57.6→58.8
Auto18.6
Teleop35.8
End4.7
red by 14.6
5505
#63
44.62.8
47.0→44.2
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
Second
2393
#36
42.51.2
41.6→42.7
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End4.6
red by 2.9
1418
#12
39.62.8
42.4→39.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
Third
5832
#49
16.51.2
12.2→13.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 14.0
5851
#72
30.62.8
29.9→27.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned30%Capture oddsMissed