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Red89
131124.7
173143.1
357434.7
Blue117
581834.7
581725.9
12547.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612005015020089117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#16
43.10.5
40.339.8
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
blue by 4.6
125
#33
47.70.3
51.551.8
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Second
3574
#28
34.70.5
31.330.8
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Level
5818
#41
34.70.3
35.335.6
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End6.1
Third
1311
#60
24.70.5
25.324.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End1.8
blue by 1.2
5817
#64
25.90.3
26.026.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed31%Capture oddsMissed