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Qual 252016 Newton Division
Red103
545030.4
348139.9
10326.3
Blue135
214731.6
400144.7
164044.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97119050150200103135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#44
39.90.4
40.4→40.8
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
blue by 4.8
4001
#7
44.71.5
38.3→39.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Second
5450
#75
30.40.4
32.1→32.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End5.3
blue by 13.9
1640
#17
44.31.5
41.3→42.8
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Third
103
#66
26.30.4
24.7→25.1
Auto4.9
Teleop15.8
End5.6
blue by 5.4
2147
#38
31.61.5
32.9→34.4
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
53%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsEarned