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Red114
129636.5
527424.3
203526.2
Blue95
176426.3
366341.9
549925.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8590406010012014016011495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#46
36.50.7
38.038.7
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
blue by 5.4
3663
#14
41.90.1
37.237.1
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
Second
2035
#15
26.20.7
23.924.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
blue by 0.1
1764
#65
26.30.1
26.626.5
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
Third
5274
#50
24.31.0
21.422.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 1.4
5499
#27
25.80.1
22.922.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed