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Red122
331447.7
455024.8
4840.6
Blue123
590024.9
6759.4
261440.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105129050150200122123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#26
47.70.8
44.044.7
Auto12.2
Teleop27.6
End7.9
blue by 11.7
67
#4
59.40.1
56.456.5
Auto15.8
Teleop31.2
End12.4
Second
48
#22
40.60.8
39.940.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 0.3
2614
#39
40.30.1
38.838.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.2
Third
4550
#45
24.80.8
21.822.5
Auto11.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
blue by 0.1
5900
#70
24.90.1
26.426.5
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsEarned