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Qual 302016 Newton Division
Red110
141839.6
328828.3
173143.1
Blue145
17955.5
461334.0
147736.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611480100120140110145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#16
43.10.0
39.8→39.7
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
blue by 12.4
179
#5
55.52.1
46.6→48.7
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
Second
1418
#12
39.60.0
39.5→39.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
red by 3.2
1477
#48
36.42.1
32.6→34.7
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Third
3288
#62
28.30.0
31.2→31.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
blue by 5.7
4613
#31
34.02.1
34.0→36.1
Auto8.8
Teleop19.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned