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Qual 342016 Newton Division
Red109
167632.5
414632.1
400144.7
Blue96
328437.8
585130.6
131124.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102902040608012014016018010996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#7
44.70.8
39.8→40.6
Auto9.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
red by 6.8
3284
#25
37.80.4
37.4→37.9
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
Second
1676
#18
32.50.8
29.0→29.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
red by 1.9
5851
#72
30.60.4
27.1→27.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
Third
4146
#35
32.10.8
28.8→29.6
Auto8.7
Teleop14.0
End9.4
red by 7.4
1311
#60
24.70.4
24.8→25.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed