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Red96
545030.4
171033.4
568626.4
Blue157
467856.7
12547.7
503921.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921355015020025096157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#20
33.40.3
30.530.2
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
blue by 23.4
4678
#21
56.72.1
49.151.2
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
Second
5450
#75
30.40.3
32.532.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End5.3
blue by 17.3
125
#33
47.72.1
51.853.9
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Third
5686
#56
26.40.3
32.632.3
Auto11.1
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 4.6
5039
#24
21.82.1
24.326.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
51%Capture oddsMissed32%Capture oddsEarned