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Red129
114341.7
550544.6
591424.1
Blue165
25466.7
124163.7
622017.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9915850200129165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#63
44.61.3
44.245.4
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
blue by 22.2
254
#2
66.71.0
66.066.9
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
Second
1143
#61
41.71.3
38.940.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End5.5
blue by 22.0
63.71.0
61.662.6
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
Third
5914
#57
24.11.5
22.123.6
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 6.2
6220
#67
17.91.0
17.618.6
Auto9.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
45%Capture oddsEarned74%Capture oddsEarned