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Red115
357434.7
141839.6
11864.1
Blue69
396113.7
474427.4
348139.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1517305010020011569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#11
64.11.7
65.864.1
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 24.2
3481
#44
39.91.2
43.642.4
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Second
1418
#12
39.61.7
39.537.8
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
red by 12.2
4744
#68
27.41.2
30.229.0
Auto10.6
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Third
3574
#28
34.71.7
30.528.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
red by 21.1
3961
#74
13.71.2
8.57.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
87%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed