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Red144
347651.1
414632.1
330944.2
Blue120
590024.9
362055.4
173143.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712890100110120140150144120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#32
51.11.0
48.449.4
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4
blue by 4.3
55.40.6
57.156.6
Auto14.5
Teleop35.2
End5.8
Second
3309
#43
44.21.0
45.646.7
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.7
red by 1.1
1731
#16
43.10.6
39.739.2
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
Third
4146
#35
32.11.0
29.630.6
Auto8.7
Teleop14.0
End9.4
red by 7.2
5900
#70
24.90.6
26.525.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsMissed