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Qual 412016 Newton Division
Red150
17955.5
515040.1
261440.3
Blue124
12244.1
164044.3
10326.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133109050150200250150124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
55.51.6
48.7→50.3
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
red by 11.2
1640
#17
44.31.0
44.0→45.0
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Second
2614
#39
40.31.6
38.9→40.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.2
blue by 3.7
122
#37
44.11.0
41.2→42.2
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End4.6
Third
5150
#6
40.11.6
38.3→39.9
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End7.5
red by 13.9
103
#66
26.31.0
24.3→25.2
Auto4.9
Teleop15.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
63%Capture oddsEarned78%Capture oddsEarned