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Qual 42016 Newton Division
Red120
124163.7
176426.3
4840.6
Blue71
330944.2
357434.7
17955.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301395010015020012071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#1
63.70.5
62.1→61.6
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
red by 8.2
179
#5
55.54.9
47.6→42.7
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
Second
48
#22
40.60.5
40.6→40.0
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
blue by 3.5
3309
#43
44.24.9
50.1→45.3
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.7
Third
1764
#65
26.30.5
25.3→24.7
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
blue by 8.4
3574
#28
34.74.9
36.2→31.3
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
23%Capture oddsEarned48%Capture oddsMissed