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Red116
21753.2
591424.1
414632.1
Blue97
167632.5
1652.9
583216.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949570809010011012011697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#8
53.20.9
46.447.3
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
red by 0.4
16
#42
52.90.1
53.353.4
Auto12.0
Teleop27.8
End13.1
Second
4146
#35
32.10.9
27.928.8
Auto8.7
Teleop14.0
End9.4
blue by 0.4
1676
#18
32.50.1
25.025.1
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
Third
5914
#57
24.11.3
18.219.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 7.6
5832
#49
16.50.1
12.112.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned18%Capture oddsMissed