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Qual 62016 Newton Division
Red141
25466.7
208133.5
328828.3
Blue144
164044.3
350434.7
6759.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136130050100150200250300141144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
66.70.3
63.7→64.1
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
red by 7.4
67
#4
59.40.8
54.5→55.3
Auto15.8
Teleop31.2
End12.4
Second
2081
#53
33.50.3
36.5→36.9
Auto11.0
Teleop14.4
End8.1
blue by 10.8
1640
#17
44.30.8
40.5→41.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Third
3288
#62
28.30.3
30.7→31.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End4.4
blue by 6.4
3504
#59
34.70.8
32.2→33.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned48%Capture oddsMissed