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Red92
350434.7
583216.5
176426.3
Blue117
616726.3
581834.7
328437.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741035015092117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#59
34.70.4
35.636.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
blue by 3.1
3284
#25
37.81.1
37.938.9
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
Second
1764
#65
26.30.4
26.526.9
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
blue by 8.4
5818
#41
34.71.1
35.136.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End6.1
Third
5832
#49
16.50.4
14.314.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 9.8
6167
#55
26.31.2
23.124.3
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed