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Red108
208133.5
424234.6
12547.7
Blue125
400144.7
550544.6
549925.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13310850150200108125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#33
47.71.9
53.952.0
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
red by 3.1
44.70.4
40.641.0
Auto9.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Second
4242
#54
34.61.9
33.631.8
Auto12.0
Teleop19.3
End3.3
blue by 10.0
5505
#63
44.60.4
45.445.9
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
Third
2081
#53
33.51.9
38.336.4
Auto11.0
Teleop14.4
End8.1
red by 7.8
5499
#27
25.80.4
22.823.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsMissed