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Red127
210229.5
467856.7
239342.5
Blue137
393741.3
4840.6
203526.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281116080100120140160180200127137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#21
56.70.0
51.251.2
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
red by 15.5
3937
#34
41.31.8
44.846.6
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
Second
2393
#36
42.50.0
45.545.5
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End4.6
red by 1.9
48
#22
40.61.8
40.642.4
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Third
2102
#58
29.50.0
25.125.1
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End4.2
red by 3.3
2035
#15
26.21.8
24.626.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsEarned