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Red99
261440.3
12638.1
456136.9
Blue82
350434.7
527424.3
414632.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13485501001502002509982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#39
40.31.9
40.538.6
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.2
red by 5.6
3504
#59
34.70.8
36.035.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Second
126
#29
38.11.9
42.640.6
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
red by 6.0
4146
#35
32.10.8
30.629.8
Auto8.7
Teleop14.0
End9.4
Third
4561
#23
36.91.9
40.138.2
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End4.4
red by 12.6
5274
#50
24.30.9
23.122.1
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
71%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed