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Qual 542016 Newton Division
Red112
590024.9
12547.7
461334.0
Blue151
583216.5
25466.7
348139.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131276080100120140160180200112151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#33
47.70.3
52.0→51.7
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
blue by 19.0
254
#2
66.70.6
64.4→65.0
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
Second
4613
#31
34.00.3
33.6→33.3
Auto8.8
Teleop19.9
End5.2
blue by 5.9
3481
#44
39.90.6
42.4→43.0
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Third
5900
#70
24.90.3
25.9→25.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End3.3
red by 8.3
5832
#49
16.50.6
14.7→15.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed