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Red139
366341.9
124163.7
141839.6
Blue118
10326.3
393741.3
424234.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1529950200139118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.70.4
63.262.8
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End7.1
red by 22.5
3937
#34
41.30.6
46.647.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
Second
3663
#14
41.90.4
38.938.5
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
red by 7.3
4242
#54
34.60.6
31.832.4
Auto12.0
Teleop19.3
End3.3
Third
1418
#12
39.60.4
37.837.4
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
red by 13.3
103
#66
26.30.6
25.225.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
81%Capture oddsEarned66%Capture oddsEarned