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Red98
239342.5
588525.1
328437.8
Blue125
173143.1
129636.5
330944.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313005010015020098125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#36
42.51.3
45.544.3
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End4.6
blue by 1.6
3309
#43
44.20.9
46.745.8
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.7
Second
3284
#25
37.81.3
38.937.7
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
blue by 5.3
1731
#16
43.10.9
39.238.3
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
Third
5885
#69
25.11.3
27.426.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End5.2
blue by 11.4
1296
#46
36.50.9
37.736.8
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsMissed