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Red85
474427.4
455024.8
550544.6
Blue162
400144.7
1652.9
467856.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921585020085162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#63
44.61.6
45.944.2
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
blue by 12.2
4678
#21
56.70.9
51.252.1
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
Second
4744
#68
27.41.6
29.027.4
Auto10.6
Teleop9.6
End7.2
blue by 25.5
16
#42
52.90.9
51.952.8
Auto12.0
Teleop27.8
End13.1
Third
4550
#45
24.81.6
24.322.7
Auto11.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
blue by 19.9
44.70.9
41.041.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed81%Capture oddsEarned