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Qual 592016 Newton Division
Red158
427635.1
12244.1
517261.3
Blue57
208133.5
545030.4
581834.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381025015020015857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#10
61.30.9
56.6→57.5
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
red by 26.6
5818
#41
34.73.2
36.2→33.0
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End6.1
Second
122
#37
44.10.9
42.2→43.1
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End4.6
red by 10.5
2081
#53
33.53.2
36.4→33.3
Auto11.0
Teleop14.4
End8.1
Third
4276
#52
35.10.9
30.4→31.3
Auto11.0
Teleop17.8
End6.2
red by 4.7
5450
#75
30.43.2
31.7→28.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
15%Capture oddsEarned23%Capture oddsMissed