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Red94
412228.4
114341.7
503921.8
Blue109
4840.6
347651.1
357434.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891305010015020094109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#61
41.70.2
40.740.5
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End5.5
blue by 9.4
3476
#32
51.11.1
49.448.3
Auto15.9
Teleop27.8
End7.4
Second
4122
#40
28.40.2
26.326.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 12.2
48
#22
40.61.1
42.441.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Third
5039
#24
21.80.2
25.425.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End2.5
blue by 12.9
3574
#28
34.71.1
28.727.6
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed28%Capture oddsEarned