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Red117
170019.5
336043.7
11864.1
Blue79
22933.2
585130.6
590024.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144755010020011779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#11
64.11.2
64.062.9
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 30.9
229
#13
33.20.3
29.028.8
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6
Second
3360
#47
43.71.2
40.939.7
Auto11.2
Teleop20.9
End11.6
red by 13.1
5851
#72
30.60.3
28.227.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
Third
1700
#71
19.51.2
24.723.5
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End1.0
blue by 5.4
5900
#70
24.90.3
25.625.4
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
42%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed