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Qual 642016 Newton Division
Red152
366341.9
455024.8
21753.2
Blue95
164044.3
12547.7
239342.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991555020015295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#8
53.22.8
43.5→46.3
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
red by 5.5
125
#33
47.73.5
51.7→48.2
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Second
3663
#14
41.92.8
38.5→41.3
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
blue by 2.4
1640
#17
44.33.5
46.3→42.8
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
Third
4550
#45
24.82.8
22.7→25.5
Auto11.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
blue by 17.7
2393
#36
42.53.5
44.3→40.8
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsEarned42%Capture oddsMissed