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Red107
527424.3
461334.0
357434.7
Blue104
70843.6
214731.6
210229.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81109050150200107104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#28
34.70.9
27.628.6
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
blue by 8.8
708
#19
43.60.2
43.343.4
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
Second
4613
#31
34.00.9
33.334.2
Auto8.8
Teleop19.9
End5.2
red by 2.4
2147
#38
31.60.2
34.134.2
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End3.8
Third
5274
#50
24.30.9
22.123.1
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 5.1
2102
#58
29.50.2
24.224.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsMissed