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Red105
336043.7
588525.1
348139.9
Blue139
167632.5
6759.4
427635.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110124050150200105139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3360
#47
43.70.3
39.739.4
Auto11.2
Teleop20.9
End11.6
blue by 15.7
67
#4
59.41.4
56.758.1
Auto15.8
Teleop31.2
End12.4
Second
3481
#44
39.90.3
43.042.8
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
red by 4.8
4276
#52
35.11.4
31.332.7
Auto11.0
Teleop17.8
End6.2
Third
5885
#69
25.10.3
26.225.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End5.2
blue by 7.4
1676
#18
32.51.4
30.631.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed42%Capture oddsEarned