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Red157
330944.2
151959.1
22933.2
Blue98
549925.8
171033.4
114341.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149895020025015798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.4
61.061.5
Auto18.6
Teleop35.8
End4.7
red by 17.4
1143
#61
41.70.2
40.540.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End5.5
Second
3309
#43
44.20.4
45.846.2
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.7
red by 10.8
1710
#20
33.40.2
32.432.6
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
229
#13
33.20.4
28.829.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.7
End5.6
red by 7.4
5499
#27
25.80.2
22.222.3
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
38%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed