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Red77
170019.5
10326.3
581725.9
Blue84
503921.8
328437.8
12638.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761120501001502007784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#66
26.30.4
25.825.4
Auto4.9
Teleop15.8
End5.6
blue by 11.8
126
#29
38.11.6
40.639.0
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
Second
5817
#64
25.90.4
29.428.9
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End1.4
blue by 11.9
3284
#25
37.81.6
37.736.1
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
Third
1700
#71
19.50.4
23.523.1
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End1.0
blue by 2.3
5039
#24
21.81.6
25.223.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsMissed