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Qual 742016 Newton Division
Red107
350434.7
568626.4
581834.7
Blue136
141839.6
203526.2
591424.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10288050150200107136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5818
#41
34.70.0
33.0→33.0
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End6.1
blue by 4.9
1418
#12
39.62.9
37.4→40.3
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
Second
3504
#59
34.70.0
35.1→35.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
red by 8.5
2035
#15
26.22.9
27.3→30.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Third
5686
#56
26.40.0
28.9→28.9
Auto11.1
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 2.3
5914
#57
24.12.9
23.1→26.0
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsEarned