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Red195
173143.1
517261.3
4840.6
Blue108
176426.3
396113.7
550544.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15469050100200195108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#10
61.32.2
57.559.7
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
red by 16.8
5505
#63
44.61.6
44.245.8
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
Second
1731
#16
43.12.2
38.340.5
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
red by 16.8
1764
#65
26.31.6
26.428.0
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
Third
48
#22
40.62.2
41.343.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
red by 27.0
3961
#74
13.71.6
8.610.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsMissed