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Qual 762016 Newton Division
Red155
17955.5
512440.5
585130.6
Blue114
366341.9
545030.4
427635.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810150150200155114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#5
55.52.0
54.6→56.6
Auto12.7
Teleop31.0
End11.9
red by 13.6
3663
#14
41.90.8
41.3→42.1
Auto12.3
Teleop25.0
End4.6
Second
5124
#30
40.52.0
37.9→39.9
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End5.7
red by 5.5
4276
#52
35.10.8
32.7→33.5
Auto11.0
Teleop17.8
End6.2
Third
5851
#72
30.62.0
27.9→29.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
red by 0.2
5450
#75
30.40.8
27.8→28.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned36%Capture oddsEarned