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Red86
357434.7
261440.3
607215.5
Blue157
549925.8
239342.5
1652.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841295010015020086157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#39
40.30.5
41.841.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.2
blue by 12.5
16
#42
52.92.5
56.058.5
Auto12.0
Teleop27.8
End13.1
Second
3574
#28
34.70.5
28.628.1
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End4.5
blue by 7.8
2393
#36
42.52.5
40.843.3
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End4.6
Third
6072
#73
15.50.5
17.617.1
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 10.2
5499
#27
25.82.5
22.324.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsEarned