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Red71
114341.7
131124.7
164044.3
Blue136
11864.1
129636.5
583216.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11011905010015020071136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#17
44.32.5
42.840.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
blue by 19.8
118
#11
64.11.4
62.964.3
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
1143
#61
41.72.5
40.738.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End5.5
red by 5.2
1296
#46
36.51.4
35.937.4
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
Third
1311
#60
24.72.5
24.722.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End1.8
red by 8.2
5832
#49
16.51.4
15.617.0
Auto3.0
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsEarned