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Qual 842016 Newton Division
Red106
424234.6
396113.7
328437.8
Blue112
455024.8
25466.7
70843.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70151050100200250106112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#25
37.80.4
36.1→36.5
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
blue by 28.9
254
#2
66.71.6
66.5→65.0
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End8.2
Second
4242
#54
34.60.4
33.8→34.2
Auto12.0
Teleop19.3
End3.3
blue by 9.0
708
#19
43.61.6
43.4→41.9
Auto9.4
Teleop22.2
End12.0
Third
3961
#74
13.70.4
10.2→10.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 11.1
4550
#45
24.81.6
25.5→24.0
Auto11.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed62%Capture oddsMissed