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Red95
147736.4
18834.5
581834.7
Blue127
414632.1
4840.6
171033.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105110608010012014016095127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#48
36.40.5
35.935.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
blue by 4.2
48
#22
40.61.0
43.544.6
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End5.7
Second
5818
#41
34.70.5
33.032.5
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End6.1
red by 1.3
1710
#20
33.41.0
32.633.6
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
188
#51
34.50.5
34.233.7
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End5.7
red by 2.4
4146
#35
32.11.0
30.431.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.0
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsEarned