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Qual 862016 Newton Division
Red139
350434.7
173143.1
393741.3
Blue134
21753.2
170019.5
151959.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513750100150200250139134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#16
43.11.0
40.5→41.5
Auto10.2
Teleop29.0
End4.0
blue by 16.0
1519
#3
59.10.5
61.5→61.0
Auto18.6
Teleop35.8
End4.7
Second
3937
#34
41.31.0
47.9→48.9
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
blue by 12.0
217
#8
53.20.5
46.3→45.8
Auto13.4
Teleop29.2
End10.7
Third
3504
#59
34.71.0
35.1→36.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.2
End6.0
red by 15.2
1700
#71
19.50.5
23.1→22.6
Auto8.7
Teleop9.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsEarned56%Capture oddsMissed