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Qual 872016 Newton Division
Red115
336043.7
591424.1
330944.2
Blue117
10326.3
456136.9
12547.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511580100120140160115117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#43
44.20.2
46.2→46.4
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.7
blue by 3.6
125
#33
47.70.0
48.2→48.3
Auto14.2
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Second
3360
#47
43.70.2
39.4→39.7
Auto11.2
Teleop20.9
End11.6
red by 6.8
4561
#23
36.90.0
38.2→38.2
Auto11.3
Teleop21.1
End4.4
Third
5914
#57
24.10.2
26.0→26.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.4
blue by 2.1
103
#66
26.30.0
25.4→25.4
Auto4.9
Teleop15.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned74%Capture oddsEarned