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Qual 892016 Newton Division
Red142
585130.6
164044.3
467856.7
Blue122
12638.1
176426.3
210229.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13484050100150200142122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#21
56.71.3
52.4→53.7
Auto16.8
Teleop32.2
End7.8
red by 18.7
126
#29
38.11.9
39.0→40.8
Auto10.7
Teleop18.4
End8.9
Second
1640
#17
44.31.3
40.3→41.6
Auto13.0
Teleop27.7
End3.6
red by 14.8
2102
#58
29.51.9
23.7→25.6
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End4.2
Third
5851
#72
30.61.3
29.9→31.2
Auto9.2
Teleop17.3
End4.1
red by 4.3
1764
#65
26.31.9
26.2→28.1
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsEarned18%Capture oddsEarned