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Red171
328437.8
141839.6
6759.4
Blue119
515040.1
545030.4
550544.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811150100200171119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#4
59.41.5
59.761.2
Auto15.8
Teleop31.2
End12.4
red by 14.8
5505
#63
44.60.4
44.444.8
Auto8.9
Teleop26.2
End9.5
Second
1418
#12
39.61.5
41.943.4
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
blue by 0.5
40.10.4
39.740.2
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End7.5
Third
3284
#25
37.81.5
36.538.0
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
red by 7.4
5450
#75
30.40.4
28.629.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
57%Capture oddsEarned93%Capture oddsEarned