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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Battle of the Bay
Red166
105845.8
151951.9
555631.2
Blue67
16649.6
23841.0
5821.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571525010020016667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 2.3
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
Second
1058
Unranked
45.80.0
45.845.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
red by 4.8
238
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Third
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 9.8
58
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End4.2