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Red205
105845.8
151951.9
555631.2
Blue155
346738.6
456450.8
50125.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15914050100200250205155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
red by 1.1
4564
Unranked
50.80.0
50.850.8
Auto11.1
Teleop28.1
End11.7
Second
1058
Unranked
45.80.0
45.845.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
red by 7.2
3467
Unranked
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.1
End3.8
Third
5556
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.9
End6.6
red by 5.7
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4