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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Battle of the Bay
Red99
31940.9
88529.0
183125.5
Blue151
264838.2
490634.4
172928.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11912905010015020025030035099151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
Unranked
40.90.0
40.9→40.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
red by 2.7
2648
Unranked
38.20.0
38.2→38.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Second
885
Unranked
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 5.5
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.4→34.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Third
1831
Unranked
25.50.0
25.5→25.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
blue by 3.3
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.8→28.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4