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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Battle of the Bay
Red110
31940.9
88529.0
183125.5
Blue149
264838.2
490634.4
172928.8
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119129050100150200250300350110149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
Unranked
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
red by 2.7
2648
Unranked
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Second
885
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 5.5
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Third
1831
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.8
blue by 3.3
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4