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Red102
16649.6
490634.4
172928.8
Blue107
105631.0
172120.5
264838.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12186050150200250300350102107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
Unranked
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto17.3
Teleop27.5
End4.8
red by 11.4
2648
Unranked
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Second
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
red by 3.4
1056
Unranked
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End9.0
Third
1729
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
red by 8.3
1721
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
24%Capture odds2%Capture odds